the internet could become filled with fake or low-quality content, making it difficult to trust interactions.
the idea of "The Great Logging Off," where humans might evolve in response to AI. ๐๐
So, you know how you get those spam emails from Nigerian princes? Imagine if they were all AI bots! "Hey, I'm a Nigerian prince, and I'm also an AI. Can you help me with my algorithm?" ๐๐ง
Let's say you have a used car you'd like to sell. It's a pretty good car. But the problem is, you can't prove it's good. For all the buyer knows, your car is actually a lemonโa used car that seems fine on the day it's purchased, but is actually going to break down in horrible ways days later,
The average selling price of any used car in the market depends on the ratio of plums to lemons because every buyer's price is discounted by the risk of getting stuck with a lemon.
Now, does this mean that everybody just turns off their computer for good, goes outside, touches grass, then joins their local Amish neighbors for a baptism and a barn raising? Maybe not.
Fourth, we'll see a resurgence and even fetishization of explicitly "offline" culture, where the "Great Logging Off" becomes literal.
We're already seeing it in how higher income families and techies especially greatly limit their children's screen time, and members of Gen Y are growing wary of social media given how much depression and anxiety it has unleashed on them.
my original background is in video game development, and I'm kind of disquieted by how addictive and powerful modern entertainment has become.
We've seen how refined sugar and high fructose corn syrup has devastated human health.
that entirely new categories of powerful addictions are available to us that weren't available to our ancestors,
Sixth, Human civilization will survive and thrive as it always has โ by evolving and adapting, both biologically and culturally.
that kind of "evolved resistance" to super-stimulus takes time and is pretty brutal, and culture will co-evolve on a much faster timescale.
Also: the future is African.
anyone who participates in the literal version of "The Great Logging Off" will put a huge premium on face-to-face close-knit human community, creating demand for the best locations where dense housing with lots of amenities are available.
real estate prices will continue to rise.
Place your bets here: All of the predictions found in this post are registered under a group